Hold Calculator

Enter the odds for a two-way or three-way market. See the bookmaker's hold percentage and the no-vig "fair" prices.

Hold (vig)
Total implied %
Fair odds — Outcome 1
Fair odds — Outcome 2

How the hold calculator works

The hold (also called vig, juice or overround) is the bookmaker's built-in margin on a market. In a perfectly fair market — like a coin flip — the implied probabilities of all outcomes add up to exactly 100%. In a real sportsbook market, they add up to more. That extra slice is the hold.

The math: convert each outcome's decimal odds to implied probability (1 ÷ decimal), sum them, subtract 1, multiply by 100. Whatever is left over is the percentage the book is keeping for itself.

Example. A two-way moneyline at 1.91 / 1.91 (both sides −110 in American). Implied probabilities: (1÷1.91) + (1÷1.91) = 52.36% + 52.36% = 104.71%. The hold is 4.71% — meaning the sportsbook expects to keep about 4.7¢ of every dollar wagered on this market.

What's a "good" hold percentage?

  • Under 3%: Sharp. Pinnacle and Betfair Exchange routinely operate here. This is where pro bettors live.
  • 3% – 4.5%: Competitive. Many U.S. books on standard moneylines and spreads.
  • 4.5% – 6%: Industry average. Most retail sportsbooks on most markets.
  • 6% – 8%: Soft. Common on three-way soccer markets and lower-profile sports.
  • 8%+: Avoid if possible. Common on player props, novelty bets, futures.

Why hold compounds in parlays

Hold is bad on a single bet. In parlays it gets worse, because every leg carries its own hold and the margins multiply together. A 4-leg parlay where each leg has a 5% hold has an effective hold around 18-22%. This is why sportsbooks aggressively promote parlays — they are the most profitable product on the book.

If you bet parlays, the way to defend against hold is to (a) keep them short, (b) shop the lines on every leg before combining, and (c) make sure each leg has positive expected value. Use the Value Calculator on individual legs before stacking them.

The "fair odds" column

Strip out the hold and you get the bookmaker's underlying probability estimate. The calculator divides each outcome's implied probability by the total implied probability (which mathematically removes the margin) and converts the result back to decimal odds. These "fair" prices are what a market with zero margin would look like — useful for comparing across books or building your own model.

Frequently asked questions

Hold (also called vig, juice or overround) is the bookmaker's built-in margin on a betting market. It is the amount by which the implied probabilities of all outcomes add up to more than 100%. A market with 105% total implied probability has a 5% hold — the bookmaker expects to keep $5 of every $100 wagered, assuming balanced action.
Convert every outcome's odds to implied probability (1 ÷ decimal odds), add them together, subtract 1, then multiply by 100. For example, two-way moneyline at 1.91 and 1.91: (1÷1.91) + (1÷1.91) = 1.047. Hold = 4.7%.
Anything below 4% on a two-way market is sharp. Top exchanges like Pinnacle and Betfair routinely offer 2-3% hold. Most retail U.S. sportsbooks run 4-5% on moneylines, 4.5-5% on spreads, and 5-7% on totals. Three-way soccer markets typically have 5-8% hold.
Hold is the price of doing business at a sportsbook. Lower hold means better prices, which means more of your stake stays with you long-term. Betting at a 2% hold book versus a 6% hold book over 1,000 wagers is the difference between profitable and breakeven for an otherwise identical betting strategy.
Divide each outcome's implied probability by the total implied probability (which removes the margin). Convert the result back to decimal odds. The market shown above does this automatically — the "fair odds" column strips the vig and shows what the prices would be in a no-juice market.

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